The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) has released the trial Index of Services Production (ISP) of India, which provides a monthly measure of short-term activity in the formal services sector for the first time.
The ISP covers 19 sub-sectors and uses 2024-25 as the base year for its calculations. It is to be noted that Real Estate has emerged as the fastest-growing services sub-sector, recording a Year-on-Year growth of 24.7%.
According to a report by ICRA Ltd, the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of India for Q1 FY27 is estimated at 7%, marking a four-quarter low compared to the 7.8% growth in Q4 FY26.
The agency maintained the real GDP growth forecast for the full FY27 at 6.7%, while the nominal GDP growth is expected to reach 13%.
According to the “Ecowrap” report released by the Economic Research Department (ERD) of the State Bank of India (SBI), the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of India is projected to rebound to 8% in the first quarter (Q1: April to June) of the FY27.
According to a report by India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra), the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth forecast of India for FY27 is upgraded to 6.8%, from the 6.7% estimated in May 2026.
The Wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation is projected at 8.5% in FY27 from 0.4% in FY26. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation is estimated to average 4.9% in FY27, with retail inflation expected to peak at 5.9% in Q3FY27 before moderating to 5% in Q4FY27.
According to the 101st Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) released by the RBI, the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of India is projected at 6.6% for FY27 (up from 6.5% estimated in the 100th SPF) and 7.0% for FY28.
The panellists placed the overall real GDP growth forecasts in the range of 6.0-7.2% for FY27 and 6.5-7.8% for FY28. The quarterly real GDP growth is projected at 6.8% (year-on-year) during Q1 FY27, and is expected to remain within the range of 6.4-7.0% over the subsequent four quarters.
The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) has announced plans to adopt the Producer Price Index (PPI) as a deflator for quarterly and annual GDP estimates, replacing the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) where applicable.
It is to be noted that in June 2026, WPI inflation rose to 9.87% from 9.68% in May 2026, while output PPI inflation increased to 9.57% from 9.38% during the same period.
According to the 'World Economic Outlook (WEO) Update - July 2026' report titled 'Global Economy in Crosscurrents of War and Technology' released by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), India's GDP growth is revised to 6.4% for FY27 from the 6.5%.
For FY28, the report has revised India's growth projection to 6.7% from the earlier estimate of 6.5%. The report also noted that India's GDP recorded a growth of 7.7% during FY26.
According to a report by the Asian Development Bank (ADB), India's GDP growth forecast for FY27 has been revised to 6.6% from the earlier 6.9%. The growth projection for FY28 is maintained at 7.3%.
The ADB has also raised the inflation forecast for FY27 to 5.2% from 4.5%, while the projection for FY28 is maintained at 4%.
According to the report titled "India: Improved Macro Outlook after the United States of America (USA)-Iran Deal" released by Goldman Sachs, India's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth forecast for Calendar Year 2026 (CY26) has been raised to 6.8%. The growth forecast for FY27 is increased to 6.5%.
The report also lowered India's retail inflation projection for the current year to 4.4% and reduced the Current Account Deficit (CAD) projection by 20 basis points (bps) to 1.1% of GDP.
According to the "Economic Outlook Asia-Pacific Q3 2026" report released by S&P Global Ratings (S&P), the real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth forecast of India for FY27 is revised to 6.6%. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation of India is projected to rise to 5.1%.
According to the “Global Economic Prospects” (GEP) report released by the World Bank (WB) in June 2026, the economic growth projection of India for FY27 has been raised to 6.6%, a 10 basis points (bps) increase from the previous forecast of 6.5%.
The GDP of India is projected to grow by 6.6% in FY27, moderating from an estimated 7.7% in FY26, and is expected to accelerate to 7.2% in FY28.
According to the ‘Second Advance Estimates of Horticulture Crops for 2025-26’ released by the Department of Agriculture & Farmers Welfare (DA&FW), the total horticulture production is projected at 3,777.76 lakh tonnes (LT) across an area of 301.51 lakh hectares (ha). This indicates a 1.90% rise in production and a 0.05% increase in area compared to 2024–25.
Fruit production is estimated at 1,214.75 LT, reflecting an increase of 3.25%. Vegetable production is projected at 2,210 LT (a 1.47% growth) across an area of 118.79 lakh ha, which is an increase of 0.75%. Onion production is estimated to remain stable at 307.37 LT, while the area under cultivation is expected to rise by 2.31% to 20.14 lakh ha.
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the RBI, chaired by Governor Sanjay Malhotra, held its second bi-monthly meeting for FY27. The committee unanimously voted to maintain the policy repo rate at 5.25% and retained a ‘neutral’ stance.
The RBI has maintained other key policy rates: Standing Deposit Facility (SDF) rate at 5%, Marginal Standing Facility (MSF) rate at 5.5%, Bank Rate at 5.5%, Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) at 3%, and Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) at 18%. The real GDP growth projection for India for FY27 is revised to 6.6% from 6.9%.
The quarterly real GDP growth is projected at 6.6% for Q1, 6.3% for Q2, 6.5% for Q3, and 6.8% for Q4. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation projection is increased to 5.1% from 4.6%, and core inflation to 4.7% from 4.4%. Additionally, the baseline crude oil price projection is revised to $95 per barrel, up from $85 per barrel.
According to the “OECD Economic Outlook Under Pressure: June 2026” report released by the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), India’s GDP growth is projected at 7.6% for FY26, 6.3% for FY27 (revised from 6.1%), and 6.4% for FY28. The report also projects India’s inflation to rise from 2.1% in FY26 to 4.8% in FY27.
According to the latest “Ecowrap” report by the State Bank of India, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of India for FY26 is projected to increase to 7.7%. This growth is attributed to the strong performance of the economy in Q4 of FY26, which accelerated to 7.8%.
The National Statistics Office (NSO) has released the Provisional Estimates (PE) of annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the FY26 and the quarterly estimates for the fourth quarter (Q4) of FY26.
India’s real GDP growth for FY26 is estimated at 7.7%, reflecting a 60 basis points (bps) increase from 7.1% in FY25. Real GDP at constant (2022-23) prices is estimated at ₹323.12 lakh crore for FY26, compared to ₹299.89 lakh crore in the First Revised Estimates (FRE) for FY25
Nominal GDP at current prices grew by 8.9% in FY26 to reach ₹346.36 lakh crore, compared to 9.7% growth and a value of ₹318.07 lakh crore in the previous financial year. These estimates are based on a revised base year of 2022-23, which was introduced by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) in February 2026, replacing the previous 2011-12 base year.
In Q4 FY26, real GDP grew by 7.8%, with the value estimated at ₹87.77 lakh crore, up from ₹81.40 lakh crore in Q4 FY25. Meanwhile, nominal GDP in Q4 FY26 registered a growth rate of 9.1%, reaching an estimated value of ₹94.65 lakh crore compared to ₹86.75 lakh crore in Q4 FY25.
The Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (MoH&FW) has released the 10th National Health Accounts (NHA) estimates for FY23. The Total Health Expenditure (THE) of India in FY23 is estimated at ₹8.81 lakh crore, which constitutes 3.37% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
The Government Health Expenditure (GHE) has increased from ₹1.3 lakh crore in FY14 to ₹3.85 lakh crore in FY23. The report was prepared by the National Health Accounts Technical Secretariat (NHATS) under the National Health Systems Resource Centre (NHSRC).
According to the “World Economic Situation and Prospects 2026” report released by the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN-DESA), the GDP growth of India for FY27 is revised down to 6.4% from the previous projection of 6.6%. The growth forecast for FY28 is also reduced to 6.6%.
